Long way down for China stocks channelling past traumas


Overseas investors purchased a net $4.2 billion worth of equities in June, data from stock exchanges in South Korea, Taiwan, India, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Vietnam showed.

HONG KONG: Three years after China’s equity bubble burst, the country’s investors are once again reeling from losses.

More than $3 trillion has been wiped out since January, all of France’s stock market capitalization and then some, as Chinese shares tumble the most in the world. 

Private companies are struggling with liquidity concerns, the economic outlook is slowing as a trade war with the U.S. deepens, and a weakening yuan is starting to prompt capital outflows.

History suggests it’s not over. While the Shanghai Composite Index is now down 30 percent since this year’s high, the gauge almost halved as the 2015 boom turned to bust.

“The time when the the market is going to turn around has to be reasonably soon, but I don’t think anybody knows exactly when,” said Don Gimbel, senior vice president at CIBC Private Wealth Management, which oversees more than $50 billion. 

“It’s been unnerving because my portfolio performance has suffered dramatically after the selloff. I’ve been at this a long time and I tell my clients, â?these are the times we have to live through to come out to the other side’.”

Shanghai equities are now trading at levels last seen in November 2014. Stocks in China’s tech hub of Shenzhen have fared even worse amid mounting concern about margin calls. 

And companies listed offshore haven’t been spared the rout, with tech giants Tencent Holdings Ltd. and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. slumping in Hong Kong and New York.

The Shanghai Composite Index was little changed as of the midday break after sliding as much as 1.5 percent in the morning. 

The heads of China’s central bank, banking and insurance regulator, and securities regulator all issued statements on Friday voicing their support for the market and promising measures to help ease financial pressures on companies, especially those with a high proportion of pledged shares.

The Hang Seng Index was down 0.3 percent, paring a drop of 1.4 percent.

The drop in the Shanghai gauge from its peak is the biggest among 94 global benchmarks tracked by Bloomberg, including Greece and Argentina. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index isn’t far behind, with a 23 percent retreat. 

The Chinese benchmark is also growing more volatile, registering at least three declines of more than 2.5 percent since markets resumed trading on Oct. 8 after National Day holidays.

Selling pressure is increasing. Almost 60 percent of the roughly 1,500 members on the gauge had a relative strength of less than 30 on Wednesday.

Last week, two thirds of the members had fallen to one-year lows, the highest proportion since 2011.

One more positive sign: turnover remains low, suggesting a lack of panic.

“We’re a lot closer to the bottom than the top,” said CIBC’s Gimbel, who likes infrastructure and tech shares. 

Still, “there is an old saying on Wall Street, don’t try catch the falling knife, and I think that’s probably appropriate - why try to be a hero?" - Bloomberg

Limited time offer:
Just RM5 per month.

Monthly Plan

RM13.90/month
RM5/month

Billed as RM5/month for the 1st 6 months then RM13.90 thereafters.

Annual Plan

RM12.33/month

Billed as RM148.00/year

1 month

Free Trial

For new subscribers only


Cancel anytime. No ads. Auto-renewal. Unlimited access to the web and app. Personalised features. Members rewards.
Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel for breaking news alerts and key updates!
   

Next In Business News

DNB denies claims of impropriety over 5G rollout
Oil gains as Iran downplays reported Israeli attack
Maxis pledges full support to government’s 5G delivery model
Fajarbaru Builder secures RM13mil job
MKH Oil Palm IPO oversubscribed
Making the Malaysian startup pitch
The pros and cons of earned wage access
Making every load lighter
Batik, chips and tech in the fabric of society
How Sin-Kung leveraged air cargo for its success

Others Also Read